Summary
Researchers and fact-checkers who have examined the reptilian thesis reach the same conclusion: no evidence supports it. Skeptoid's Brian Dunning writes that virtually any statement Icke makes can be falsified by minimal research, but that in a conspiracy theory any contrary evidence is read as proof of the plot. The clips offered as proof have been traced to editing: Snopes found that a widely shared video of "reptilian eyes" was digital editing, and Lead Stories concluded that a compilation showed ordinary people and video artefacts. The popularity of the idea is often overstated. A 2013 Public Policy Polling survey found that 4% of registered voters said they believed it, but Foreign Policy pointed out that this meant about 50 respondents out of 1,247, hardly the "12 million Americans" of the headlines. Scholars take the theory seriously as a cultural phenomenon: Tyson Lewis and Richard Kahn caution against dismissing Icke as merely fringe. And it is not harmless: investigators found that the perpetrator of a 2020 bombing in Nashville expressed belief in it in writings sent to acquaintances.
Verified facts
- Verified fact
Investigators found that the perpetrator of the December 2020 Nashville bombing had sent acquaintances writings expressing belief in 9/11 conspiracy theories, moon landing conspiracy theories and the reptilian conspiracy theory.
- 2020 Nashville bombing, Wikipedia
included writings in which he expresses belief in 9/11 conspiracy theories, moon landing conspiracy theories, and the reptilian conspiracy theory
- 2020 Nashville bombing, Wikipedia
Official version
- Official version
A 2013 Public Policy Polling survey indicated that 4% of registered voters (±2.8%) believed in David Icke's ideas.
- Reptilian conspiracy theory, Wikipedia
A poll of Americans in 2013 by Public Policy Polling indicated that 4% of registered voters (±2.8%) believed in David Icke's ideas.
- Reptilian conspiracy theory, Wikipedia
- Official version
Foreign Policy noted that the "12 million Americans" headline rested on about 50 respondents out of 1,247 voters, and doubted that even those answers reflected real belief.
- No, 12 million Americans don’t believe the country is run by shape-shifting lizards, Foreign Policy, 2 April 2013
Given the small sample size -- 1,247 voters -- we're talking about 50 people who actually said yes to the question. A long way from 12 million.
- No, 12 million Americans don’t believe the country is run by shape-shifting lizards, Foreign Policy, 2 April 2013
- Official version
Skeptoid's Brian Dunning writes that almost any statement by Icke is easily falsified by minimal research, yet within a conspiracy theory any contrary evidence is read as proof of the plot.
- Support Your Local Reptoid, Skeptoid, 21 May 2007
Virtually any statement that Icke makes is easily falsified by minimal research if not simple common sense, but since his is a conspiracy theory, any evidence against it is simply regarded as evidence proving the conspiracy.
- Support Your Local Reptoid, Skeptoid, 21 May 2007
- Official version
Snopes rated as false the claim that a viral video shows a person with "reptilian" eyes: the clip is digital editing, not evidence of a reptilian race.
- Are These Reptilian Humanoid Eyes Real?, Snopes, 30 December 2020
This video does not document the existence of a reptilian humanoid race.
- Are These Reptilian Humanoid Eyes Real?, Snopes, 30 December 2020
- Official version
Lead Stories concluded that a compilation of clips said to show shape-shifters contains video artefacts and ordinary people, not a reptilian life form.
- Fact Check: Video Clips Do NOT Provide Evidence of Reptilian Beings Or Shapeshifters, Lead Stories, 11 February 2022
but a shape-shifting reptilian humanoid life form is not one of them. The individuals appearing in the clips are normal people.
- Fact Check: Video Clips Do NOT Provide Evidence of Reptilian Beings Or Shapeshifters, Lead Stories, 11 February 2022
- Official version
The researchers Tyson Lewis and Richard Kahn caution against treating Icke's work as merely fringe, calling it representative of a major global counter-cultural trend.
- The Reptoid Hypothesis: Utopian and Dystopian Representational Motifs in David Icke’s Alien Conspiracy Theory, Utopian Studies, 2005
we want to caution against relegating Icke's work to merely fringe status. Rather, Icke is representative of a major counter-cultural trend that is indeed global in proportions.
- The Reptoid Hypothesis: Utopian and Dystopian Representational Motifs in David Icke’s Alien Conspiracy Theory, Utopian Studies, 2005